Sunday, January 31, 2010

QFII

UBS a chief player in China’s domestic equity club

By Robert Cookson

Published: January 17 2010 09:31 | Last updated: January 17 2010 09:31

Seven years ago, at a small ceremony in Beijing, Nicole Yuen became the first foreigner to buy shares in China’s dominant A share market.

As head of China equities at UBS, Ms Yuen had been instrumental in helping the Swiss investment bank win approval from regulators to enter the qualified foreign institutional investor (QFII) scheme – the only way overseas groups can buy A shares on the mainland.

Since then, she has remained a central figure within this exclusive club, which has expanded to 86 institutions that have been granted a combined total of $16.7bn (£10.2bn, €11.6bn) in investment quotas.

If anyone understands the opportunities and the challenges of the QFII programme, it is Ms Yuen.

Today, UBS has a quota of $800m – bigger than any of its peers. Nonetheless, that figure falls short of the $1bn that Ms Yuen had hoped to acquire by now.

“It is a little bit frustrating when we have been applying every year and we still do not have the quota we would like,” she says. “However, I also understand the other side of the coin, which is that the renminbi is still not a convertible currency.”

The QFII scheme is one of the few official gateways into China’s financial markets, which remain largely closed off to foreign investors. Its development is watched closely by foreign governments and financial groups alike.

Ms Yuen likens the programme to a “baby”, whose “parents” are the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (Safe).

“They don’t always agree how to take care of this child,” she says.

“As the child gets bigger and wants more freedom, the parents seem not to be giving it to them. I think that sums up where we are.”

According to figures released last week, China granted a combined $3.3bn in quotas to foreign institutions in 2009. By contrast, domestic companies were granted $8bn for overseas portfolio investment in the last three months of the year.

One big problem foreign groups have faced over the life of the scheme has been uncertainty over the regulations, which have changed in unexpected directions as the authorities refined the scheme.

Most recently, in October, Safe introduced new rules that banned the “transfer or sale” of quota – a development that sent QFIIs scrambling to their lawyers.

Many big QFIIs make money by renting out a portion of their quota – by transferring usage rights but not ownership – to other institutions. As much as $3bn of quota is rented out under this arrangement to hedge funds, asset managers and other financial institutions, according to estimates from Z-Ben, a fund consultancy based in Shanghai.

Within the industry there is no consensus over what type of quota renting is allowed or not. UBS, unlike most of its peers, has taken a relatively conservative stance and terminated one of the facilities it used to provide clients with access to mainland stocks.

This “QFII facility” – which had been a source of revenues for UBS since 2003 – was an arrangement whereby clients were given exclusive use of a certain amount of quota as and when they wanted it. UBS would buy and sell mainland stocks at the client’s request.

“We took a very serious look at the regulation and thought this may be in conflict,” Ms Yuen says. “Some other banks may take a different interpretation, they may have a slightly different arrangement.”

The bank will continue to offer other forms of access to mainland equities, including through derivatives such as “P-notes”. Ms Yuen believes that the new regulations are not intended to stop QFIIs from using derivatives to support exchange traded funds that track mainland stocks, such as the iShares FTSE/Xinhua A50.

Sacrificing the profits from the QFII facility was deemed to be worth it to eliminate the risk of tarnishing the bank’s reputation with the Chinese authorities.

“There is very transparent reporting to the authorities now about what you do with the quota. They ask for very, very detailed information,” Ms Yuen says. “It’s not something we want to play around with. Disclosure has to be transparent and we want to be clear.”

UBS has had more success than most of its global peers at establishing a presence in China, meaning the costs of falling foul of the authorities would be high.

As head of UBS’ securities business in China, Ms Yuen is responsible for a range of businesses, including a brokerage joint venture (UBS Securities) and an asset management joint venture (UBS SDIC Fund Management).

Ms Yuen’s views over the future of the QFII scheme carry weight because her extensive involvement with the scheme comes with first-hand experience of how mainland regulators make decisions.

In 2003, she became the first overseas banker to be appointed by the CSRC to its 25-member listing committee. Before UBS, she was a partner at law firm Clifford Chance in Hong Kong, having practised in the US, UK and the Netherlands after graduating from Harvard Law School.

Following the announcement of big reforms to the mainland stock market last week, one of the most exciting prospects for QFIIs is the launch of stock index futures later this year.

These products would, for the first time, allow investors to hedge their positions against stock market tumbles.

“We are lobbying very actively for QFIIs to [be able to] come in,” says Ms Yuen, who expects they will be allowed to trade the index futures, albeit under strict controls. “It will allow us to hedge and the participation of QFII will introduce international expertise into that market.”

The other big market reforms – margin trading and securities lending – are unlikely be extended to foreign investors any time soon, she says.

But in spite of the many restrictions that continue to hold back the ambitions of foreign groups, including UBS, Ms Yuen remains a passionate advocate of the scheme.

Foreign investors have had a stabilising effect on China’s markets, she argues, selling when markets overheat and buying when they fall. Meanwhile, she says, their presence has helped inform local investors about global investment practices and spurred the development of the local research industry.

“It’s the most successful experiment China has done to promote foreign investment.

“The effect on the market is far beyond the amount of money we’ve put in.”

No comments: